The stage is finally set for impeachment’s dramatic, divisive endgame
Nothing will change the fact that Trump is in the most dubious club in presidential politics in perpetuity. Only Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton share that legacy-defining fate. But the battle now is over more immediate politics. That’s why the feud between Republicans and Democrats over witnesses is so important.
Democrats believe that the witnesses they already called in the House investigation and hope to hear from in the Senate paint a picture of an unaccountable and corrupt presidency that could scare uncommitted voters.
By highlighting the resistance of Republicans like Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky to hearing such testimony, they can accuse the GOP of covering up for a malfeasant President.
“Most Americans know President Trump … seems to be afraid of the truth,” Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-New York, warned Monday. “A trial without all the facts is a farce. The verdicts of a kangaroo court are empty.”
Republicans have little interest in unearthing new and questionable conduct by the President or in shining a light on damning testimony from foreign-policy officials about Trump’s conduct heard in the House.
The GOP leadership is under pressure both to orchestrate Trump’s swift acquittal to please base voters and to shield vulnerable incumbents as they battle to keep control of the Senate.
Recent polling shows that both sides have an interest in playing to their most committed supporters — whatever the Constitution envisions about the chamber acting as a nonpartisan arbiter of presidential behavior.
In a new Quinnipiac University survey, 51% of voters approve of the House vote to impeach Trump, but a slightly smaller sample — 46% — think the Senate should vote to remove him from office.
The GOP argues that it is not the Senate’s job to continue investigating, especially after House Democrats opted not to take legal action to compel witnesses like former national security adviser John Bolton to testify.
What did Pelosi gain?
Pelosi, who says her delaying tactics allowed more time for critical evidence to emerge, is urging McConnell to call for new documents and witnesses that the White House has so far refused to provide.
“Now the ball is in their court to either do that or pay a price,” the speaker said on ABC News’ “This Week.”
But Pelosi failed to force McConnell to agree to a plan to hear from a slate of witnesses before the trial begins.
“In terms of influencing Senate proceedings, this strange gambit has achieved absolutely nothing,” the majority leader said on Monday.
Still, McConnell is not in complete control. He cannot afford to lose more than three senators on his own side in procedural votes. And several GOP senators have expressed disquiet about the way in which he has coordinated Trump’s defense with the White House.
Sen. Mitt Romney of Utah said Monday, for instance, that he would “like to hear” from Bolton — but stopped short of calling for him to be subpoenaed.
Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska told reporters she’s working on a process to hold votes on witnesses and possible information if necessary.
According to sworn testimony in the House investigation, Bolton viewed Trump’s Ukraine fixer and personal attorney Rudy Giuliani as a “hand grenade.” The former national security adviser now says he’d be willing to appear at the Senate trial if subpoenaed, though the White House is likely to seek to limit his testimony with assertions of executive privilege.
At one point, the President was itching for a show trial, along with witnesses that could tar Biden over claims that he and his son Hunter were guilty of corruption in Ukraine. There is no evidence to substantiate such charges.
Then the President seemed to be pulling for a quick acquittal that he could use on the campaign trail. Now he’s calling on Republican senators to crush the charges as soon as they arrive.
“Many believe that by the Senate giving credence to a trial based on the no evidence, no crime, read the transcripts, ‘no pressure’ Impeachment Hoax, rather than an outright dismissal, it gives the partisan Democrat Witch Hunt credibility that it otherwise does not have. I agree!” Trump tweeted Sunday.
But such a strategy would be almost certain to backfire.
“I think I am safe in saying there is almost no interest in a motion to dismiss,” Sen. Roy Blunt of Missouri, a member of the Senate leadership team, told reporters on Monday.
“Certainly, there are not 51 votes for a motion to dismiss,” he said.
Despite the President’s preferences, the White House has been preparing hard for the trial. White House counsel Pat Cipollone has been working on Trump’s defense for weeks. He’s expected to work in harness with the President’s outside attorney Jay Sekulow — a smooth television performer.
CNN confirmed on Monday that Giuliani has lobbied Trump for a place on the Senate floor. But the President’s attorney has become known for inflammatory television appearances that leave more questions than answers about his client’s behavior.
And Giuliani is a witness to much of Trump’s off-the-books diplomatic scheme in Ukraine and might become a gift for Senate Democrats.